Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.343056 0.407458 0.479484 0.565839 0.666391 0.779603 0.916548
2024-12-29 0.251157 0.335054 0.439083 0.576845 0.753692 0.972213 1.261710
2025-01-05 0.200469 0.291577 0.413485 0.587038 0.825986 1.141339 1.586568
2025-01-12 0.161892 0.253380 0.383902 0.581272 0.869159 1.270081 1.866019
2025-01-19 0.134777 0.225099 0.361441 0.578756 0.911962 1.397882 2.152514
2025-01-26 0.119772 0.211852 0.357913 0.601649 0.991854 1.583856 2.538243
2025-02-02 0.115890 0.215415 0.380167 0.666092 1.140929 1.885781 3.124843
2025-02-09 0.105199 0.205415 0.378452 0.690546 1.227712 2.098070 3.590426
2025-02-16 0.091062 0.186805 0.359217 0.682286 1.258285 2.221650 3.922999
2025-02-23 0.077116 0.166137 0.333236 0.658308 1.258153 2.292771 4.172848
2025-03-02 0.064682 0.146259 0.305769 0.627661 1.241833 2.333185 4.371612
2025-03-09 0.060047 0.141493 0.306356 0.649502 1.322851 2.549492 4.893585
2025-03-16 0.050864 0.125856 0.283983 0.625266 1.317251 2.614795 5.160851
2025-03-23 0.046396 0.119928 0.280721 0.639091 1.386986 2.825348 5.713692
2025-03-30 0.042263 0.114019 0.276589 0.650383 1.452482 3.033091 6.278055
2025-04-06 0.037353 0.105319 0.265006 0.644048 1.480750 3.170675 6.718345
2025-04-13 0.033331 0.098082 0.255654 0.641281 1.515847 3.324147 7.201496
2025-04-20 0.031466 0.096147 0.258466 0.666450 1.613711 3.612468 7.977160
2025-04-27 0.032249 0.101546 0.279759 0.737263 1.819386 4.139469 9.278991
2025-05-04 0.030537 0.099646 0.282600 0.764120 1.928135 4.470909 10.198847
2025-05-11 0.027270 0.092629 0.271365 0.755049 1.952956 4.624552 10.755039
2025-05-18 0.023658 0.083847 0.254168 0.728711 1.934071 4.680835 11.105866
2025-05-25 0.020231 0.074905 0.235135 0.695039 1.893592 4.685038 11.342135